Ever since Fortnite started publicly posting player numbers back in 2023, the doomsayers have come out in full force any time there’s a decline in concurrent or average player numbers. We’re in exactly one of those situations right now, as player counts for the game’s main mode, Battle Royale, have fallen significantly since Chapter 7 Season 4 started on August 14. After the summer season saw a big bump in engagement, thanks to some combination of the sprite-focused gameplay and the nearly entirely new map that Epic dropped at the start of Season 3, player counts have been heading back towards the sort of numbers we saw in Season 1 and 2. In other words: Not great, Bob!
According to fortnite.gg, which collates players numbers from the Fortnite API, the average number of players in BR is down 37% in September from August so far. We had the usual big spike of players right at the start of Season 4 in the middle of August, but the falloff has been steady ever since, and the “Fortnite is dead” crowd has emerged once again.
But what’s going on, really? Is Fortnite dying, or is this just the usual seasonal ebb and flow of player traffic? It’s not an easy question to answer from the outside, even with the data we have. To get a better idea of what’s going on, we looked at four potential factors.
School’s back
This is one of the more obvious factors we could blame–the kids and college students who had lots of free time to game all day during the summer are now busy with school again. Typically, though, the biggest difference in terms of player numbers when comparing the summer versus. the rest of the year is not that more people are playing, but that they’re playing at all hours instead of being concentrated at peak times. For most of the year, there’s a big difference in the number of concurrent players between peak hours and the middle of the night, but during the summer, the highs and the lows each day are closer together.
So being back in school doesn’t seem to stop people from playing–it just makes them play more in the evening. The data we have for past fall seasons supports this idea, as average numbers largely stayed flat between the summer and fall seasons in 2023, and the averages took a nice jump up for the Marvel-themed Chapter 5 Season 4 in 2024. Player numbers have fallen pretty hard both in Chapter 6 Season 4 and in this year’s gaming-focused Chapter 7 Season 4, but it seems like we’ll need something other than school schedules to blame for that.


