Business confidence hits 3-year low linked to US-Iran conflict

Business confidence hits 3-year low linked to US-Iran conflict


Overall business outlook for 2026 is 10 percentage points below 2025 levels.

Singapore business confidence has fallen to its lowest level in three years, with only 69% of businesses reporting positive sentiment about the current business environment, according to the UOB Business Outlook Study H1 2026.

The study, which adopts a biannual cadence from 2026 to better track fast-moving geopolitical and economic shifts, found that geopolitical tensions are now a key concern for one in four businesses, whilst rising operational costs affect one in three. Both indicators have increased sharply since 2024.

The US-Iran conflict has been identified as the most significant macroeconomic shock of the first quarter of 2026, contributing to a spike in crude oil and natural gas benchmarks alongside reported supply disruptions in petrochemical feedstocks and by-products. 

The overall business outlook for 2026 remains 10 percentage points below 2025 levels.



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