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Rystad Energy’s Mr Pandey said there were limits to how much more gas Indonesia could divert to domestic use over the next few years, with upcoming projects such as Mako expected to meet Batam’s demand, while pipeline capacity and other infrastructure constraints would restrict further diversions.<\/span><\/p>\n Beyond a certain point, he added, cutting exports could force Indonesian producers to reduce production rather than simply redirecting gas to another buyer.<\/span><\/p>\n He noted that some changes to gas flows had already been planned as early as 2024, signalled by arrangements such as gas sales and swap agreements relating to gas fields such as Jambi Merang.<\/span><\/p>\n On the whole, the latest cuts should be “manageable” for Singapore, which has been preparing for potential disruptions by diversifying its gas supply, said Mr Pandey \u2013 barring any further changes such as deeper reductions or field production disruptions.<\/span><\/p>\n While the latest reduction is expected to be manageable, the bigger test for Singapore could come after 2028, when existing gas export contracts start expiring, he added.<\/span><\/p>\n Dr Broadstock noted that Singapore had already been reviewing and reconfiguring its gas imports following disruptions to global energy supply chains caused by the Middle East conflict.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n It should be “relatively easy” to find alternative supplies in the international gas market, he added.<\/span><\/p>\n Dr Fouquet highlighted liquefied natural gas (LNG) from Australia and the United States as potential options.<\/span><\/p>\n However, RSIS’ Dr Chew said that expanding LNG infrastructure and diversifying supply would not make Singapore invulnerable to energy risks.<\/span><\/p>\n Instead of depending on imported resources, developing domestic electricity generation capacity through solar or nuclear energy would give Singapore a greater degree of energy independence, he said.<\/span><\/p>\n Nuclear power, in particular, could provide a low-carbon source of electricity capable of meeting continuous demand, he added.<\/span><\/p>\n Singapore is also expanding its sources of low-carbon electricity imports as part of efforts to decarbonise its power sector.<\/span><\/p>\n The Energy Market Authority (EMA) on Monday (Oct 26) announced that it had <\/span>granted conditional approval to Sembcorp Utilities to import 1.3 gigawatts of electricity into Singapore<\/span>.<\/span><\/p>\n Sembcorp Utilities is working with MY Energy Consortium and Petrovietnam Technical Services Corporation to source and integrate low-carbon electricity, including offshore wind from Vietnam and solar power from Malaysia, with imports targeted to begin by 2035.<\/span><\/p>\n Singapore has also granted conditional approvals and licences to electricity import projects from Australia, Cambodia, Indonesia, Malaysia and Vietnam.<\/span><\/p>\n However, Dr Broadstock cautioned that the implications of countries prioritising their domestic energy needs could extend beyond natural gas imports.<\/span><\/p>\n If such an approach becomes more widespread in the region, Singapore may need to carefully review its energy dependencies including low-carbon electricity imports, he said.<\/span><\/p>\n<\/div>\n
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