{"id":57581,"date":"2026-06-03T05:20:00","date_gmt":"2026-06-02T21:20:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/sgbuzz.com\/?p=57581"},"modified":"2026-06-03T05:20:00","modified_gmt":"2026-06-02T21:20:00","slug":"its-a-two-horse-race-for-ai-crown-where-does-that-leave-singapore","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/sgbuzz.com\/?p=57581","title":{"rendered":"It\u2019s a two-horse race for AI crown. Where does that leave Singapore?"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><br \/>\n<\/p>\n<div>\n<p class=\"font-body-baseline-regular text-primary\" data-testid=\"article-paragraph-annotation-test-id\">The AI industry is and will remain a two-horse race. Only the United States and China each have the talent and market size to <a href=\"https:\/\/www.straitstimes.com\/business\/companies-markets\/openai-anthropic-google-unite-to-combat-ai-model-copying-in-china?ref=inline-article\" rel=\"noopener\" class=\"gap-x-04 items-center inline text-primary-60 select-auto\" aria-label=\"link\" target=\"_blank\" data-testid=\"custom-link\"><span class=\"font-body-baseline-regular inline\" data-testid=\"paragraph-test-id\">propel continued production and advancement of AI models,<\/span><\/a> which the rest of us will use. The US has the added advantage of abundant risk capital while China\u2019s strengths lie in hardware manufacture and state support.<\/p>\n<p class=\"font-body-baseline-regular text-primary\" data-testid=\"article-paragraph-annotation-test-id\">Both are determined to win this race, including by shutting others out, as shown by the US blocking exports of advanced Nvidia semiconductors to China, and <a href=\"https:\/\/www.straitstimes.com\/asia\/east-asia\/china-blocks-metas-2-billion-acquisition-of-ai-startup-manus?ref=inline-article\" rel=\"noopener\" class=\"gap-x-04 items-center inline text-primary-60 select-auto\" aria-label=\"link\" target=\"_blank\" data-testid=\"custom-link\"><span class=\"font-body-baseline-regular inline\" data-testid=\"paragraph-test-id\">China blocking Meta\u2019s acquisition of Singapore-headquartered Manus.<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n<p class=\"font-body-baseline-regular text-primary\" data-testid=\"article-paragraph-annotation-test-id\">This <a href=\"https:\/\/www.straitstimes.com\/opinion\/why-the-us-china-ai-race-wont-be-won-any-time-soon?ref=inline-article\" rel=\"noopener\" class=\"gap-x-04 items-center inline text-primary-60 select-auto\" aria-label=\"link\" target=\"_blank\" data-testid=\"custom-link\"><span class=\"font-body-baseline-regular inline\" data-testid=\"paragraph-test-id\">fierce competition<\/span><\/a> is not simply one of geopolitical rivalry. It is driven also by the structure of the AI industry itself, which in both countries is highly concentrated in a few mega corporations surrounded by a cluster of start-ups. This reflects the industry\u2019s \u201cwinner-takes-all\u201d nature, in which firstcomer advantages, scale and network effects mean early movers capture the entire market.<\/p>\n<p class=\"font-body-baseline-regular text-primary\" data-testid=\"article-paragraph-annotation-test-id\">In the US, AI \u201chyperscalers\u201d Google, Microsoft, Amazon and Meta are investing heavily in their own in-house AI models, and <a href=\"https:\/\/www.straitstimes.com\/business\/anthropic-files-confidentially-for-ipo-in-race-with-openai?ref=inline-article\" rel=\"noopener\" class=\"gap-x-04 items-center inline text-primary-60 select-auto\" aria-label=\"link\" target=\"_blank\" data-testid=\"custom-link\"><span class=\"font-body-baseline-regular inline\" data-testid=\"paragraph-test-id\">in OpenAI and Anthropic<\/span><\/a>, while start-ups draw capital from venture capital and private equity funds. In China, Baidu, Alibaba and Tencent are the big players, while independent labs like DeepSeek and Zhipu are mainly funded by state and local government entities and subject to state industrial policy.<\/p>\n<p class=\"font-body-baseline-regular text-primary\" data-testid=\"article-paragraph-annotation-test-id\">Both countries also have disadvantages that could slow development of their respective AI industries. In the US, a popular backlash is gathering steam, as polls show a majority of Americans viewing AI negatively. There are growing calls and some local policies to limit data centre construction and youth social media use. Owners of intellectual property are legally challenging the use of their data to train AI models. Under-regulation increases risks that slow deployment, while monopolisation constrains entrepreneurship and innovation, and immigration restrictions deprive the industry of top talent.<\/p>\n<p class=\"font-body-baseline-regular text-primary\" data-testid=\"article-paragraph-annotation-test-id\">AI entrepreneurship, adoption and innovation could also be curtailed in China, by censorship and over-regulation, such as state restrictions on worker layoffs and on foreign ownership and sales (which limit the wealth accumulation that incentivises entrepreneurs).<\/p>\n<p class=\"font-body-baseline-regular text-primary\" data-testid=\"article-paragraph-annotation-test-id\">In both countries, the very speed deemed essential for technology advancement and market domination may impose brakes, as expansion drives up capital costs for producers and consumers, and human intervention costs increase to curb excess proliferation, coordinate deployment, correct errors, contain \u201cslop\u201d and retrain constantly in the face of rapid obsolescence.<\/p>\n<p class=\"font-body-baseline-regular text-primary\" data-testid=\"article-paragraph-annotation-test-id\">This industry structure suggests that there will be few opportunities for Singapore to occupy strategic niches in the AI global value chain, as the multinational offshoring of previous technological eras will not happen this time. Geopolitics imposes further limits, with both the US and Chinese governments jealously guarding their home-grown technology and fearful that the other will use AI against them. This means that Singapore can jump on the bandwagon of only one horse, since neither will want to stable with the other; it will likely have to be the American horse.<\/p>\n<p class=\"font-body-baseline-regular text-primary\" data-testid=\"article-paragraph-annotation-test-id\">Chinese companies do not need Singapore, even though it could be one of many convenient conduits for them to enter or acquire technology from more restrictive third markets.<\/p>\n<p class=\"font-body-baseline-regular text-primary\" data-testid=\"article-paragraph-annotation-test-id\">For Singapore, <a href=\"https:\/\/www.straitstimes.com\/asia\/chinese-tech-giants-dangle-record-pay-packets-to-court-singapore-trained-ai-graduates?ref=inline-article\" rel=\"noopener\" class=\"gap-x-04 items-center inline text-primary-60 select-auto\" aria-label=\"link\" target=\"_blank\" data-testid=\"custom-link\"><span class=\"font-body-baseline-regular inline\" data-testid=\"paragraph-test-id\">engaging with Chinese firms<\/span><\/a> would preclude more extensive engagement with US companies. Its openness to capital, talent and labour from China could deter American firms already worried about technology and talent leakage among themselves, which they pre-empt by offering stratospheric pay packages that impose \u201cgolden handcuffs\u201d on key employees at the home office. Heightened attention to \u201cSingapore-washing\u201d by both the US and China, and Singapore\u2019s unavoidable reliance on imported talent, will add to reluctance to locate AI model-building activities here.<\/p>\n<p class=\"font-body-baseline-regular text-primary\" data-testid=\"article-paragraph-annotation-test-id\">That said, given its size, Singapore does not have the capacity to build general-purpose AI foundation models; nor does it need to. Large Language Models (LLMs) also enable the rapid development of localised and customised AI applications, and Singapore could leverage LLM capabilities to build domain- and region-specific applications and services.<\/p>\n<p class=\"font-body-baseline-regular text-primary\" data-testid=\"article-paragraph-annotation-test-id\">The obvious niche here is the regional South-east Asian market, to which Singapore could serve as a conduit or assistant to US tech giants and their clients. The oft-lamented fragmentation and diversity of these markets, and their sparse incorporation into global data bases, provide an opportunity for an aggregator in specific domains where Singapore already has expertise, like finance or maritime trade. It could also serve as a testing and assurance sandbox, checking AI agents for compliance, safety and accuracy.<\/p>\n<p class=\"font-body-baseline-regular text-primary\" data-testid=\"article-paragraph-annotation-test-id\">To serve this role, Singapore needs to develop and provide the \u201chuman\u201d competencies that AI lacks, and that are becoming more important as it spreads.<\/p>\n<p class=\"font-body-baseline-regular text-primary\" data-testid=\"article-paragraph-annotation-test-id\">In addition to the personal relationships and social networks necessary to build understanding and trust, the humanities can play a role in the nurturing of AI talent and, more broadly, prepare society to better navigate an AI-disrupted world. The required domain knowledge here will be the languages, literatures, histories, philosophies, religions, cultures and arts of Singapore\u2019s South-east Asian neighbours.<\/p>\n<p class=\"font-body-baseline-regular text-primary\" data-testid=\"article-paragraph-annotation-test-id\">While it will be helpful for everyone to learn how to use AI as a tool in work and life, it is also necessary for software engineers to understand the humanity of others in the AI universe and be able to communicate with them.<\/p>\n<p class=\"font-body-baseline-regular text-primary\" data-testid=\"article-paragraph-annotation-test-id\">There are good reasons for the blending of the humanities and STEM (science, technology, engineering and mathematics) skills. It is also not a recent innovation.<\/p>\n<p class=\"font-body-baseline-regular text-primary\" data-testid=\"article-paragraph-annotation-test-id\">The University of Michigan College of Engineering has long had a curricular requirement for \u201cintellectual breadth\u201d. Engineering majors are required to take liberal arts courses, some of which must be at the advanced undergraduate level, where they can \u201clearn about human modes of thought, the structure and history of the human societies that they serve as engineers, how humans behave and interact, and how humans express their aspirations in the arts, literature and music\u201d, making them \u201cmore flexible, creative and better able to work with diverse groups\u201d.<\/p>\n<p class=\"font-body-baseline-regular text-primary\" data-testid=\"article-paragraph-annotation-test-id\">While there is a reflexive tendency to be dazzled at the speed and efficiency at which AI operates, its very machine-like strengths reinforce the case for the skills and habits honed through the humanities. Critical thinking is essential if one is to thrive in the AI world \u2013 to probe for possible hallucinations, disinformation and misinformation as well as to seek out more accurate and better responses through prompts.<\/p>\n<p class=\"font-body-baseline-regular text-primary\" data-testid=\"article-paragraph-annotation-test-id\">The <!-- -->Socratic method<!-- --> I am familiar with from the privileged venues of my Cambridge undergraduate tutorials, MBA and executive education case teaching, and the corporate boardroom, can be employed more widely at earlier stages of the educational trajectory \u2013 as it already is in the A-level General Paper.<\/p>\n<p class=\"font-body-baseline-regular text-primary\" data-testid=\"article-paragraph-annotation-test-id\">Literature and <!-- -->h<!-- -->istory can also provide the same practice \u2013 for example, in deconstructing characters\u2019 natures, motivations and actions, analysing their relationships with each other and with their environments, pondering their ethics and values, and imagining hypothetical alternate plot lines<!-- --> (\u201cwhat if?\u201d)<!-- -->. Reading and writing for these subjects will improve the language, and hence reasoning, facility necessary for getting the most out of AI, and disciplining it.<\/p>\n<p class=\"font-body-baseline-regular text-primary\" data-testid=\"article-paragraph-annotation-test-id\">Critical thinking is also important in the labour market beyond, and because of, AI. The AI-producing sector itself cannot provide many jobs, given the consolidation of its shrunken corporate hierarchies in fewer, larger entities in the home country market where innovation occurs. Such jobs are also inherently unstable, with frequent and sudden layoffs and changed hiring patterns virtually \u201cbaked into\u201d the system, given its technological dynamism and market uncertainties.<\/p>\n<p class=\"font-body-baseline-regular text-primary\" data-testid=\"article-paragraph-annotation-test-id\">Meanwhile AI is replacing previously cognition-intensive white-collar work in other sectors, where the remaining jobs require higher-order thinking skills. Employers are starting to complain about young employees \u201craised on AI\u201d being overly dependent on its derivative knowledge base and thus unable to recognise and solve novel problems which emerge. Fewer opportunities to acquire compensating tacit domain knowledge through entry-level job experience make the ability to think for yourself and know how to learn even more crucial.<\/p>\n<p class=\"font-body-baseline-regular text-primary\" data-testid=\"article-paragraph-annotation-test-id\">AI is commoditising some creative professions like graphic design, pop music composition and pulp-fiction writing. But it also puts a premium on creativity and original thinking, which contribute to the bottom-up employment solution of individuals in the US creating their own jobs through entrepreneurial ventures, as in personal and household services, which AI can enhance.<\/p>\n<p class=\"font-body-baseline-regular text-primary\" data-testid=\"article-paragraph-annotation-test-id\">What are the employment implications for Singaporeans in this AI era?<\/p>\n<p class=\"font-body-baseline-regular text-primary\" data-testid=\"article-paragraph-annotation-test-id\">First, on the technology frontier, there is no visibility, only different scenarios, on the nature, pace, extent and spread of AI-induced job transformations. This extreme uncertainty makes top-down manpower master plans unworkable, even for the leading AI companies themselves. Formal technical skills training, including by universities, will be hard-pressed to keep up with the speed of technological change and obsolescence.<\/p>\n<p class=\"font-body-baseline-regular text-primary\" data-testid=\"article-paragraph-annotation-test-id\">Second, outside of the well-established semiconductor sector, participation in the AI-producing space by hitching our economy to the bandwagon of the leading American AI companies will not create significant numbers of stable, long-term jobs for Singaporeans. The rare Singaporean or Singapore-based foreign talent that possesses the skills these companies want are most productively and securely employed at corporate headquarters, where they can imbibe and contribute tacit knowledge to the central innovation ecosystem.<\/p>\n<p class=\"font-body-baseline-regular text-primary\" data-testid=\"article-paragraph-annotation-test-id\">Third, participation in the AI-producing space requires Singapore to possess and provide specific niche domain knowledge advantages. It does not have the resources, scale or time to \u201ctry many things at once to see what works\u201d, as larger countries might. Singapore\u2019s domain knowledge advantages \u2013 including tacit and intangible knowledge and the relationships providing it \u2013 are most likely to be in its geographically determined historical role in trade, transportation, finance and ancillary services in the South-east Asian region.<\/p>\n<p class=\"font-body-baseline-regular text-primary\" data-testid=\"article-paragraph-annotation-test-id\">Fourth, the education system, and local cultural, intellectual and ideological mindsets need to prioritise the development of critical thinking skills. Critical thinking is required in the production and use of AI, and also in nurturing individual entrepreneurial values that encourage people to \u201ccreate their own jobs\u201d in non-AI sectors, which account for the vast majority of jobs in any economy.<\/p>\n<p class=\"font-body-baseline-regular text-primary\" data-testid=\"article-paragraph-annotation-test-id\">Finally, public policies that affect employment, entrepreneurship and citizen welfare should be recalibrated to deal with the promise and perils of AI. For example, self-employment through AI-improved productivity in services is currently hampered by reliance on low-wage foreign labour. The social safety net should be strategically strengthened to support labour market mobility and entrepreneurial risk-taking.<\/p>\n<p class=\"font-body-baseline-regular text-primary\" data-testid=\"article-paragraph-annotation-test-id\">Artificial intelligence is a revolutionary technology that is driven by the two tech superpowers of our time. It is hard to know the shape of things to come while caught in the maelstrom of change. From early indications, it involves wrenching change in the job market, with some sectors more vulnerable than others. How well Singapore deals with the disruptions will require a parallel revolution in its economic model, social contract, mindsets, and the public policies which shape them.<\/p>\n<div class=\"article-list-container\" data-testid=\"bulleted-article-list-test-id\">\n<ul class=\"pl-22 list-disc article-list-wrapper\">\n<li class=\"article-list-item list-item\" data-testid=\"bulleted-article-list-item-test-id\">\n<p class=\"font-body-baseline-regular text-primary\" data-testid=\"article-paragraph-annotation-test-id\">Linda Lim is professor emerita of corporate strategy and international business and a former director of the Center for Southeast Asian Studies at the University of Michigan.<\/p>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<\/div>\n<p><iframe class=\"responsive-iframe-base podcast aspect-landscape podcast-embed\" title=\"podcast embed\" scrolling=\"no\" src=\"https:\/\/omny.fm\/shows\/in-your-opinion\/playlists\/in-your-opinion\/embed\" allowfullscreen=\"\" allow=\"accelerometer;falseclipboard-write; encrypted-media; gyroscope; picture-in-picture; web-share;\" loading=\"eager\" height=\"500\" data-testid=\"responsiveIframe\"><\/iframe><\/p>\n<\/div>\n<p><br \/>\n<center><br \/>\n<br \/><a href=\"https:\/\/www.straitstimes.com\/opinion\/its-2-horse-race-for-ai-crown-where-does-that-leave-singapore\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Read Full Article At Source <\/a><br \/>\n<center\/><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>The AI industry is and will remain a two-horse race. Only the United States and China each have the talent and market size to propel&#8230;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":57582,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"fifu_image_url":"","fifu_image_alt":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[2611],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-57581","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-buzz-headlines","wpcat-2611-id"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/sgbuzz.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/57581","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/sgbuzz.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/sgbuzz.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/sgbuzz.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/sgbuzz.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=57581"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/sgbuzz.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/57581\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/sgbuzz.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/media\/57582"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/sgbuzz.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=57581"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/sgbuzz.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=57581"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/sgbuzz.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=57581"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}