{"id":49004,"date":"2026-05-01T21:30:36","date_gmt":"2026-05-01T13:30:36","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/sgbuzz.com\/?p=49004"},"modified":"2026-05-01T21:30:36","modified_gmt":"2026-05-01T13:30:36","slug":"star-wars-the-mandalorian-and-grogu-box-office-expected-to-be-lower-than-solo-a-star-wars-story","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/sgbuzz.com\/?p=49004","title":{"rendered":"Star Wars: The Mandalorian and Grogu Box Office Expected to be Lower Than Solo: A Star Wars Story"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><br \/>\n<\/p>\n<div id=\"\">\n<p data-cy=\"paragraph\" class=\"paragraph jsx-2269604527\">Disney has reportedly tempered expectations for Star Wars: The Mandalorian and Grogu, which is currently tracking to open lower than box office bomb Solo: A Star Wars Story.<\/p>\n<p data-cy=\"paragraph\" class=\"paragraph jsx-2269604527\">According to The Hollywood Reporter, internal Disney estimates place the movie as debuting to an $80 million box office gross over the upcoming four-day Memorial Day weekend. <\/p>\n<p data-cy=\"paragraph\" class=\"paragraph jsx-2269604527\">That&#8217;s less than half of the $177.3 million opening earned by Star Wars: The Rise of Skywalker back in 2019. This was the last Star Wars movie to launch in theaters \u2014 though, to be fair, it was also billed as being Disney&#8217;s big sequel trilogy closer. <\/p>\n<p><output class=\"box-wrapper jsx-2673806401\" data-cy=\"article-slideshow\"><button type=\"button\" style=\"display:none\" class=\"jsx-2228525885\"\/><span data-cy=\"slideshow-view-trigger\"><\/p>\n<div data-cy=\"slideshow-preview\" class=\"jsx-1711207865 slideshow-preview\">\n<h3 class=\"title5 jsx-62124236 jsx-1085005187\" data-cy=\"slideshow-preview-title\">How Much Every Star Wars Movie Made Opening Weekend<\/h3>\n<div data-cy=\"slideshow-images-container\" class=\"jsx-1711207865 images-container\"><button type=\"button\" data-cy=\"hero-image\" aria-label=\"Open Slideshow\" class=\"jsx-1711207865 hero-image\"><img alt=\"\" aria-hidden=\"true\" decoding=\"async\" role=\"presentation\" class=\"progressive-image jsx-2021719738 image aspect-ratio aspect-ratio-16-9 jsx-2605834259 jsx-2338608387 hover-opacity\" loading=\"lazy\" src=\"data:image\/gif;base64,R0lGODlhAQABAIAAAAAAAP\/\/\/yH5BAEAAAAALAAAAAABAAEAAAIBRAA7\" data-cy=\"progressive-image\"\/><span class=\"button-text jsx-729543028 button button--primary jsx-3381835873 jsx-4266531355 row-pagination-button next contained centered round large\" data-cy=\"paginate next\" title=\"Open Slideshow\"><span class=\"ign-icon right-chevron jsx-2750866048 jsx-2919720488\" role=\"presentation\" aria-hidden=\"true\" data-cy=\"right-chevron\" style=\"mask:url(https:\/\/kraken.ignimgs.com\/_next\/static\/media\/RightChevron.272be43c.svg?cors=1) no-repeat center center \/ contain;background:currentColor\"\/><\/span><\/button><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<p><\/span><\/output><\/p>\n<p data-cy=\"paragraph\" class=\"paragraph jsx-2269604527\">More relevant, perhaps, is the comparison between The Mandalorian and Grogu and Solo: A Star Wars Story, the most recent Star Wars spinoff film. Solo launched in 2018 to $84 million over three days, and $104 million days over its first four \u2014 neither of which Mando is expected to beat.<\/p>\n<p data-cy=\"paragraph\" class=\"paragraph jsx-2269604527\">Audiences gave Solo a mixed reaction, and there&#8217;s been a similar ambivalence online to early looks at the Mando film. The movie&#8217;s goofy Super Bowl spot was savaged by fans, even though the clip was clearly designed as a spoof of typical big game commercials. A more recent excerpt, shown on Jimmy Kimmel Live, was similarly critiqued, as Grogu idly played with buttons in a cockpit in a scene that felt like it went on far too long.<\/p>\n<p data-cy=\"paragraph\" class=\"paragraph jsx-2269604527\">Far from being Star Wars&#8217; triumphant return to the theaters after a lengthy seven-year wait, Disney seems to be setting expectations that Mandalorian and Grogu will perform <em>fine <\/em>\u2014 but not blow up in a way that Lucasfilm might have once hoped for its pop culture-dominating duo. <\/p>\n<p><output class=\"box-wrapper jsx-2673806401\" data-cy=\"article-video\"\/><\/p>\n<p data-cy=\"paragraph\" class=\"paragraph jsx-2269604527\">But it&#8217;s not all bad news. While Mando might not beat Solo&#8217;s opening box office, the new film has been made for a fraction of the cost. Solo remains one of the most expensive films ever made, with a budget of around $365 million before marketing costs, and an estimated break-even point of around $600 million that it got nowhere near. The movie also had a messy production, with Disney having to parachute in a fresh director in order to get it over the line. <\/p>\n<p data-cy=\"paragraph\" class=\"paragraph jsx-2269604527\">Reports have suggested that Mando has a far slimmer budget of around $160 million, making it the cheapest Disney-made Star Wars film to date. It is helmed by Disney and Star Wars veteran Jon Favreau, and will undoubtedly also sell a lot of Grogu toys.<\/p>\n<p data-cy=\"paragraph\" class=\"paragraph jsx-2269604527\">The Mandalorian and Grogu comes out six-and-a-half years after the divisive The Rise of Skywalker, which means there\u2019s a whole generation of young kids who will get to experience a brand new Star Wars movie in theaters for the first time. Favreau is well aware of the opportunity here, telling The Associated Press this week: \u201cI want to make the next generation feel the way about Star Wars that I did when I saw it for the first time.\u201d Favreau\u2019s comments here echo those Lucasfilm co-CEO Dave Filoni issued in March, when he said The Mandalorian And Grogu benefits from launching without the weight of expectation that comes with introducing a new Star Wars trilogy.<\/p>\n<p data-cy=\"paragraph\" class=\"paragraph jsx-2269604527\"><em>Tom Phillips is IGN&#8217;s News Editor. You can reach Tom at tom_phillips@ign.com or find him on Bluesky <\/em>@tomphillipseg.bsky.social<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<p><br \/>\n<br \/><a href=\"https:\/\/www.ign.com\/articles\/disney-reportedly-expects-star-wars-the-mandalorian-and-grogu-box-office-opening-lower-than-solo-a-star-wars-story\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Read Full Article At Source <\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Disney has reportedly tempered expectations for Star Wars: The Mandalorian and Grogu, which is currently tracking to open lower than box office bomb Solo: A&#8230;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":49005,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"fifu_image_url":"","fifu_image_alt":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[32],"tags":[3447,3605,10488,17124,517,1772,297,1199,5852],"class_list":["post-49004","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-tech-gadgets-reviews","tag-box","tag-expected","tag-grogu","tag-mandalorian","tag-office","tag-solo","tag-star","tag-story","tag-wars","wpcat-32-id"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/sgbuzz.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/49004","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/sgbuzz.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/sgbuzz.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/sgbuzz.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/sgbuzz.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=49004"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/sgbuzz.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/49004\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/sgbuzz.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/media\/49005"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/sgbuzz.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=49004"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/sgbuzz.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=49004"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/sgbuzz.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=49004"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}